FC Liefering 2-0 Kapfenberger SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.31
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.81
6+ Goals
13%
7.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.07
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
17%
5.46
X/2
9%
6.8
X/X
14%
5.49
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.9
2/2
10%
4.32
2/X
6%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.9 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+3.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
27%
Away Win
32%
-4.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.9pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +21%
1.74/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.10
+15% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
340 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 67%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
19.8 Crosses 14.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Liefering
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kapfenberger SV
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.64 xG 1.99
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
336 Passes 159
77% Pass Accuracy 58%
28 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2024 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
20.05.2024 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-3 HT 1-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
12.11.2023 FC Liefering FC Liefering 0-1 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
01.04.2023 FC Liefering FC Liefering 1-3 HT 1-2 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
05.11.2022 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 3-2 HT 1-1 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
27.11.2021 FC Liefering FC Liefering 3-2 HT 1-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
POST-MATCH FC Liefering vs Kapfenberger SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Liefering saw off Kapfenberger SV 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Liefering as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Liefering and 1.67 for Kapfenberger SV.

What was the final score of FC Liefering vs Kapfenberger SV?

FC Liefering 2-0 Kapfenberger SV in the Austria - 1st Division on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Liefering vs Kapfenberger SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Liefering win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FC Liefering 46%, draw 26%, Kapfenberger SV 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Liefering), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Liefering) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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