Kapfenberger SV 0-2 FC Liefering — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.1
2-3 Goals
35%
1.96
4-5 Goals
28%
2.74
6+ Goals
17%
7.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.12
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
22.3
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
12%
6.66
X/2
14%
5.15
X/X
13%
5.81
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
18%
2.89
2/X
6%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.3 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
33%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-1.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.6pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -19%
1.56/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.39
+6% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
277 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 73%
14.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
16.3 Crosses 19.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapfenberger SV
3W-0D-3L
AWAY FC Liefering
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.72 xG 1.96
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
145 Passes 332
54% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 27
9 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2024 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-3 HT 1-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
12.11.2023 FC Liefering FC Liefering 0-1 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
01.04.2023 FC Liefering FC Liefering 1-3 HT 1-2 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
05.11.2022 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 3-2 HT 1-1 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
27.11.2021 FC Liefering FC Liefering 3-2 HT 1-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
23.07.2021 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
POST-MATCH Kapfenberger SV vs FC Liefering
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Liefering saw off Kapfenberger SV 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Liefering as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kapfenberger SV and 1.83 for FC Liefering.

What was the final score of Kapfenberger SV vs FC Liefering?

Kapfenberger SV 0-2 FC Liefering in the Austria - 1st Division on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapfenberger SV vs FC Liefering?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Liefering win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kapfenberger SV 33%, draw 26%, FC Liefering 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Liefering) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Liefering) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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