SV Horn 3-3 Amstetten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2024

SV Horn
3-3 HT 2-1
Amstetten
📅27/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

SV Horn vs Amstetten Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
27%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.24
1/2
7%
23.15
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
14%
6.59
X/2
10%
5.06
X/X
8%
5.44
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
28.5
2/2
26%
2.94
2/X
6%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 7% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.1pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.0pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.4pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

SV Horn v Amstetten — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Horn EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Amstetten EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +25%
1.35/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.55/0.61
+4% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / +105%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
270 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 72%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
11.7 Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

SV Horn vs Amstetten Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Horn
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Amstetten
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.08.2024 SV Horn SV Horn 3-1 HT 1-0 Amstetten Amstetten AVK
10.11.2023 SV Horn SV Horn 3-1 HT 0-1 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
04.06.2023 Amstetten Amstetten 2-2 HT 1-1 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
06.11.2022 SV Horn SV Horn 2-1 HT 1-1 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
22.04.2022 Amstetten Amstetten 0-0 HT 0-0 SV Horn SV Horn AU2
16.10.2021 SV Horn SV Horn 0-3 HT 0-2 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
POST-MATCH SV Horn vs Amstetten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Horn and Amstetten shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 21% / 42%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SV Horn had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for SV Horn and 1.33 for Amstetten.

What was the final score of SV Horn vs Amstetten?

SV Horn 3-3 Amstetten in the Austria - 1st Division on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Horn vs Amstetten?

Before kick-off our model rated an Amstetten win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split SV Horn 37%, draw 21%, Amstetten 42%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Amstetten) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Amstetten) ✓ Over 2.5
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