Ried 2-3 Rapid Wien II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2024

Ried
2-3 HT 2-2
Rapid Wien II
📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Ried vs Rapid Wien II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.56
2-3 Goals
40%
2.02
4-5 Goals
27%
2.64
6+ Goals
13%
6.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.65
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.55
X/1
20%
3.72
X/2
8%
14.9
X/X
10%
7.67
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.8
2/2
6%
10.5
2/X
6%
18.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.8 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
67%
-9.0pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.9pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ried v Rapid Wien II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ried EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien II EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.95/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.39
+46% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
375 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
24.2 Crosses 17.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.2

Ried 2-3 Rapid Wien II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ried
2-3
AWAY Rapid Wien II
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ried vs Rapid Wien II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Wien II edged past Ried 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ried at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Ried had 62% of the ball to Rapid Wien II's 38%, shots finished 10-6.

What was the final score of Ried vs Rapid Wien II?

Ried 2-3 Rapid Wien II in the Austria - 1st Division on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ried vs Rapid Wien II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ried win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Ried 58%, draw 22%, Rapid Wien II 21%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ried) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ried) ✓ Over 2.5
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