RWDM 47 0-1 Lommel United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.32
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.14 — our 26% vs market 18.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
13%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
71%
-6.6pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.0pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+4.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.0pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RWDM 47 EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Lommel United EU Bookmakers 14%
+9% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.95/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.79
-1% / +134% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
385 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.2
19.8 Crosses 8.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RWDM 47
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Lommel United
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.67 xG 0.76
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
374 Passes 350
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Lommel United Lommel United 0-2 HT 0-0 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 BEL2
13.11.2022 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 5-0 HT 2-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
01.10.2022 Lommel United Lommel United 2-1 HT 0-0 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 BEL2
12.03.2022 Lommel United Lommel United 0-0 HT 0-0 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 BEL2
21.01.2022 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 2-0 HT 1-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
31.10.2021 Lommel United Lommel United 2-3 HT 1-0 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RWDM 47
0-1
AWAY Lommel United
2.07 xG 0.52
67% Ball Possession 33%
22 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
16 Corners 4
429 Passes 174
83% Pass Accuracy 65%
51 Box Touches 14
45 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH RWDM 47 vs Lommel United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lommel United squeezed past RWDM 47 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had RWDM 47 at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, RWDM 47 had 67% of the ball to Lommel United's 33%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 2.07 to 0.52 — the balance of chances actually favoured RWDM 47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, RWDM 47 had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for RWDM 47 and 0.67 for Lommel United.

What was the final score of RWDM 47 vs Lommel United?

RWDM 47 0-1 Lommel United in the Belgium - 1st Division on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RWDM 47 vs Lommel United?

Before kick-off our model rated a RWDM 47 win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split RWDM 47 65%, draw 20%, Lommel United 16%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (RWDM 47), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RWDM 47) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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