Vitebsk 3-3 Isloch Minsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
72%
1.41
Over
28%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.29
No
64%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
44%
1.91
2-3
35%
1.81
4-5
12%
6.44
6+
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 72%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.6pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.3pp
72%
Under 2.5
67%
+4.5pp
28%
Over 2.5
33%
-4.5pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.8pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Isloch Minsk EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +5%
0.92/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.00
-25% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitebsk
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Isloch Minsk
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.12.2024 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 1-0 HT 1-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
06.07.2024 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-1 HT 0-0 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
03.03.2024 Vitebsk Vitebsk 1-4 HT 1-2 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLRK
06.11.2022 Vitebsk Vitebsk 1-3 HT 0-1 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
08.07.2022 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
02.10.2021 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-4 HT 0-1 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitebsk
3-3
AWAY Isloch Minsk
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vitebsk vs Isloch Minsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitebsk and Isloch Minsk couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 33% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vitebsk had 48% of the ball to Isloch Minsk's 52%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Isloch Minsk led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Vitebsk and 2.50 for Isloch Minsk.

What was the final score of Vitebsk vs Isloch Minsk?

Vitebsk 3-3 Isloch Minsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitebsk vs Isloch Minsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitebsk win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Vitebsk 36%, draw 33%, Isloch Minsk 32%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vitebsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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