Lens 0-2 Reims — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 11 Apr 2025

Lens
0-2 HT 0-1
Reims
📅11/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.0
Over
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.65
2-3
40%
1.82
4-5
26%
3.2
6+
10%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.01
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
11%
14.9
X/1
21%
4.18
X/2
10%
11.2
X/X
8%
5.59
2/1
7%
22.45
2/2
10%
9.02
2/X
7%
16.9
Value flag · 1/X at 14.9 — our 11% vs market 4.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
59%
-12.7pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.3pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lens EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Reims EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +0%
1.90/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.45
-1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
22.8 Crosses 13.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lens
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Reims
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.61 xG 1.24
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
394 Passes 367
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2024 Reims Reims 0-2 HT 0-1 Lens Lens FR1
18.02.2024 Reims Reims 1-1 HT 1-1 Lens Lens FR1
16.12.2023 Lens Lens 2-0 HT 1-0 Reims Reims FR1
12.05.2023 Lens Lens 2-1 HT 1-1 Reims Reims FR1
04.09.2022 Reims Reims 1-1 HT 0-0 Lens Lens FR1
08.05.2022 Reims Reims 1-2 HT 1-0 Lens Lens FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lens
0-2
AWAY Reims
3.43 xG 1.40
70% Ball Possession 30%
37 Total Shots 10
14 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
574 Passes 204
89% Pass Accuracy 73%
53 Box Touches 14
57 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lens vs Reims
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reims saw off Lens 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lens at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Lens had 70% of the ball to Reims's 30%, shots finished 37-10, expected goals 3.43 to 1.40 — the balance of chances actually favoured Lens.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lens had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lens and 0.67 for Reims.

What was the final score of Lens vs Reims?

Lens 0-2 Reims in the France - Ligue 1 on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lens vs Reims?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lens win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lens 47%, draw 26%, Reims 27%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lens) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →