NEC Nijmegen vs RKC Waalwijk Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NEC Nijmegen v RKC Waalwijk — Team-Based Signals
NEC Nijmegen vs RKC Waalwijk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
RKC Waalwijk
HOL
0-0
HT 0-1
NEC Nijmegen
HAZ
1-3
HT 0-3
NEC Nijmegen
HOL
6-1
HT 1-1
RKC Waalwijk
HOL
NEC Nijmegen 2-1 RKC Waalwijk — Actual Match Statistics
NEC Nijmegen edged past RKC Waalwijk 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had NEC Nijmegen as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, NEC Nijmegen had 43% of the ball to RKC Waalwijk's 57%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.52 to 1.13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NEC Nijmegen had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for NEC Nijmegen and 0.67 for RKC Waalwijk.
What was the final score of NEC Nijmegen vs RKC Waalwijk?
NEC Nijmegen 2-1 RKC Waalwijk in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NEC Nijmegen vs RKC Waalwijk?
Before kick-off our model rated a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split NEC Nijmegen 48%, draw 28%, RKC Waalwijk 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC Nijmegen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.