Shams Azar Qazvin 1-1 Zob Ahan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
30%
2.7
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.36
Over 2.5
36%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.87
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
14%
6.74
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.9pp
30%
Draw
34%
-3.8pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
70%
-6.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
30%
+6.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.8pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shams Azar Qazvin EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Zob Ahan EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.19/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.98
+25% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
248 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shams Azar Qazvin
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Zob Ahan
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
01.12.2024 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 3-0 HT 2-0 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
05.10.2023 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 1-2 HT 0-2 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
POST-MATCH Shams Azar Qazvin vs Zob Ahan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shams Azar Qazvin and Zob Ahan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Zob Ahan led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Shams Azar Qazvin and 2.50 for Zob Ahan.

What was the final score of Shams Azar Qazvin vs Zob Ahan?

Shams Azar Qazvin 1-1 Zob Ahan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shams Azar Qazvin vs Zob Ahan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shams Azar Qazvin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Shams Azar Qazvin 39%, draw 30%, Zob Ahan 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shams Azar Qazvin), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shams Azar Qazvin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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