Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-1 Havadar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 11 Apr 2025

Esteghlal Khuzestan
1-1 HT 0-0
Havadar
📅11/04/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League – 2024/2025

Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Havadar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.67
No
60%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.0
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
5.95
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-6.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+4.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
33%
+6.7pp
60%
BTTS No
67%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Esteghlal Khuzestan v Havadar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Havadar EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +20%
1.31/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.87
-20% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +45%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
437 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 159 · 64%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Havadar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Havadar
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
02.12.2024 Havadar Havadar 0-1 HT 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
05.10.2024 Havadar Havadar 1-2 HT 0-2 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
01.06.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 3-1 HT 1-0 Havadar Havadar IRAN
17.03.2024 Havadar Havadar 0-1 HT 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
31.12.2023 Havadar Havadar 2-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
20.10.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 3-2 HT 1-2 Havadar Havadar IRAN
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Havadar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Khuzestan and Havadar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Esteghlal Khuzestan at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 1.00 for Havadar.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Havadar?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-1 Havadar in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Havadar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 52%, draw 28%, Havadar 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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