Sepahan 1-0 Mes Rafsanjan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
14%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.54
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.24
6+ Goals
9%
21.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
60%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
14%
Away Win
16%
-1.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.3pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sepahan EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
1.94/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.56
+31% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -23%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sepahan
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
08.12.2024 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-3 HT 0-1 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
20.06.2024 Sepahan Sepahan 2-0 HT 0-2 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRANK
11.05.2024 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 1-1 HT 0-1 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
09.12.2023 Sepahan Sepahan 4-1 HT 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
15.04.2023 Sepahan Sepahan 2-0 HT 1-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
28.10.2022 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-0 HT 0-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
POST-MATCH Sepahan vs Mes Rafsanjan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepahan edged past Mes Rafsanjan 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sepahan as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sepahan had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sepahan and 0.33 for Mes Rafsanjan.

What was the final score of Sepahan vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Sepahan 1-0 Mes Rafsanjan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sepahan vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sepahan win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Sepahan 59%, draw 27%, Mes Rafsanjan 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sepahan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sepahan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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