Tijuana 2-1 Atletico San Luis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒05:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
23%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.74
Over 2.5
66%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.15
2-3 Goals
36%
2.09
4-5 Goals
35%
2.45
6+ Goals
12%
4.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
50%
+5.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
23%
Away Win
27%
-4.5pp
34%
Under 2.5
33%
+1.1pp
66%
Over 2.5
67%
-1.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.0pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tijuana EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.67/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.61
+0% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 80%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
21.6 Crosses 16.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tijuana
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Atletico San Luis
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.67 xG 1.42
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
351 Passes 329
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-1 HT 1-1 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
18.02.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 3-3 HT 1-2 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
09.10.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 2-1 HT 1-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
11.02.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
02.09.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-0 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
07.04.2022 Tijuana Tijuana 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tijuana
2-1
AWAY Atletico San Luis
0.78 xG 0.66
28% Ball Possession 72%
11 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
189 Passes 555
77% Pass Accuracy 89%
17 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tijuana vs Atletico San Luis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tijuana squeezed past Atletico San Luis 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tijuana as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Tijuana had 28% of the ball to Atletico San Luis's 72%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.78 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tijuana had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tijuana and 1.00 for Atletico San Luis.

What was the final score of Tijuana vs Atletico San Luis?

Tijuana 2-1 Atletico San Luis in the Mexico - Primera on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tijuana vs Atletico San Luis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tijuana win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Tijuana 55%, draw 22%, Atletico San Luis 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tijuana), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tijuana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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