Atletico San Luis 1-1 Tijuana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 20 Jul 2024

Atletico San Luis
1-1 HT 1-1
Tijuana
📅20/07/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Atletico San Luis vs Tijuana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.78
2-3 Goals
36%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.82
6+ Goals
14%
7.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.3pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico San Luis v Tijuana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Tijuana EU Bookmakers 38%
-8% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.53/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.13
+0% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
319 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
22.4 Crosses 14.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8

Atletico San Luis vs Tijuana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico San Luis
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Tijuana
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.73 xG 1.58
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
305 Passes 316
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.02.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 3-3 HT 1-2 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
09.10.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 2-1 HT 1-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
11.02.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
02.09.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-0 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
07.04.2022 Tijuana Tijuana 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
17.09.2021 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 4-1 HT 3-1 Tijuana Tijuana MEK

Atletico San Luis 1-1 Tijuana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico San Luis
1-1
AWAY Tijuana
1.19 xG 1.31
39% Ball Possession 61%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
302 Passes 499
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico San Luis vs Tijuana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico San Luis and Tijuana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico San Luis at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Atletico San Luis had 39% of the ball to Tijuana's 61%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.19 to 1.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tijuana led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico San Luis and 1.33 for Tijuana.

What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs Tijuana?

Atletico San Luis 1-1 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico San Luis vs Tijuana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico San Luis win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atletico San Luis 42%, draw 24%, Tijuana 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletico San Luis), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico San Luis) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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