Puebla 1-2 Atlas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 20 Jul 2024

Puebla
1-2 HT 0-2
Atlas
📅20/07/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Puebla vs Atlas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
3.54
6+ Goals
10%
13.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+9.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.5pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.2pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Puebla v Atlas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puebla EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlas EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.29/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.44
+2% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
18.3 Crosses 17.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Puebla vs Atlas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puebla
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Atlas
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.19 xG 1.35
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
262 Passes 346
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.03.2024 Puebla Puebla 2-2 HT 1-2 Atlas Atlas MEK
29.09.2023 Atlas Atlas 2-3 HT 1-2 Puebla Puebla MEK
18.03.2023 Puebla Puebla 0-4 HT 0-2 Atlas Atlas MEK
21.08.2022 Atlas Atlas 1-1 HT 1-1 Puebla Puebla MEK
12.02.2022 Puebla Puebla 1-1 HT 0-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
29.09.2021 Atlas Atlas 0-1 HT 0-1 Puebla Puebla MEK

Puebla 1-2 Atlas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puebla
1-2
AWAY Atlas
0.83 xG 0.78
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
342 Passes 254
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Box Touches 8
32 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Puebla vs Atlas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlas edged past Puebla 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 24% / 36% — and on the day Atlas made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Puebla had 56% of the ball to Atlas's 44%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 0.83 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puebla had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Puebla and 1.67 for Atlas.

What was the final score of Puebla vs Atlas?

Puebla 1-2 Atlas in the Mexico - Primera on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puebla vs Atlas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puebla win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Puebla 41%, draw 24%, Atlas 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Puebla) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Puebla) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK More Mexico - Primera
20 Jul 2024
04:00 Atletico San Luis vs Tijuana Analysis →