Ghazl El Mehalla vs Smouha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ghazl El Mehalla v Smouha — Team-Based Signals
Ghazl El Mehalla vs Smouha Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Smouha
MSR
0-0
HT 0-0
Ghazl El Mehalla
MSR
1-0
HT 0-0
Smouha
MSR
2-0
HT 0-0
Ghazl El Mehalla
MSR
1-1
HT 0-1
Smouha
MSR
Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0 Smouha — Actual Match Statistics
Ghazl El Mehalla edged past Smouha 1-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Ghazl El Mehalla found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Ghazl El Mehalla had 44% of the ball to Smouha's 56%, shots finished 4-12, expected goals 0.20 to 0.49.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ghazl El Mehalla and 1.17 for Smouha.
What was the final score of Ghazl El Mehalla vs Smouha?
Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0 Smouha in the Egypt - Premier League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Smouha?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ghazl El Mehalla win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ghazl El Mehalla 39%, draw 30%, Smouha 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ghazl El Mehalla), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.