Masr vs El Gounah Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Masr v El Gounah — Team-Based Signals
Masr vs El Gounah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Masr
MSR
0-1
HT 0-0
Masr
MSR
0-0
HT 0-0
Masr
MSRK
El Gounah
MSR
Masr 1-2 El Gounah — Actual Match Statistics
El Gounah squeezed past Masr 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Masr at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Masr had 69% of the ball to El Gounah's 31%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 2.21 to 0.37 — on chances, Masr could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Masr had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Masr and 0.00 for El Gounah.
What was the final score of Masr vs El Gounah?
Masr 1-2 El Gounah in the Egypt - Premier League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Masr vs El Gounah?
Before kick-off our model rated a Masr win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Masr 46%, draw 30%, El Gounah 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.