Rudar Velenje 1-2 Tabor Sezana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
41%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.75
Over
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
44%
4-5
26%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+6.6pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.7pp
41%
Away Win
52%
-11.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.0pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rudar Velenje EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Tabor Sezana EU Bookmakers 56%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.00/2.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/1.00
-9% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
262 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rudar Velenje
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Tabor Sezana
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2024 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana 1-1 HT 1-1 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
17.03.2024 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 1-0 HT 1-0 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana SLVN2
02.09.2023 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana 1-1 HT 1-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
16.07.2020 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana 1-0 HT 1-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN
08.03.2020 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 0-1 HT 0-0 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana SLVN
03.11.2019 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana 1-1 HT 0-0 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rudar Velenje
1-2
AWAY Tabor Sezana
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rudar Velenje vs Tabor Sezana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tabor Sezana squeezed past Rudar Velenje 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tabor Sezana as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rudar Velenje had 51% of the ball to Tabor Sezana's 49%, shots finished 7-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tabor Sezana led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rudar Velenje and 0.83 for Tabor Sezana.

What was the final score of Rudar Velenje vs Tabor Sezana?

Rudar Velenje 1-2 Tabor Sezana in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rudar Velenje vs Tabor Sezana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tabor Sezana win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rudar Velenje 30%, draw 29%, Tabor Sezana 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tabor Sezana), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tabor Sezana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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