Bistrica 2-1 ND Slovan Ljubljana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.23
Over
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
44%
4-5
23%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-1.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.7pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bistrica EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY ND Slovan Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 36%
+13% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.24/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.71
+55% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +109%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bistrica
1W-0D-0L
AWAY ND Slovan Ljubljana
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
27.09.2024 ND Slovan Ljubljana ND Slovan Ljubljana 0-2 HT 0-1 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bistrica
2-1
AWAY ND Slovan Ljubljana
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bistrica vs ND Slovan Ljubljana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bistrica nicked a narrow win over ND Slovan Ljubljana 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bistrica as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Bistrica had 51% of the ball to ND Slovan Ljubljana's 49%, shots finished 20-10.

What was the final score of Bistrica vs ND Slovan Ljubljana?

Bistrica 2-1 ND Slovan Ljubljana in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bistrica vs ND Slovan Ljubljana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bistrica win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bistrica 44%, draw 26%, ND Slovan Ljubljana 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bistrica), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bistrica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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