Chelmsford City 1-1 Maidenhead United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
24%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.62
6+ Goals
8%
15.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 30% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
44%
+6.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
24%
Away Win
29%
-5.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.54/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.87
+0% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +66%
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
114 · 92% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 106 · 91%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelmsford City
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Maidenhead United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
6 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
06.09.2025 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 2-1 HT 1-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
10.12.2013 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-1 HT 0-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
POST-MATCH Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelmsford City and Maidenhead United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Chelmsford City at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Maidenhead United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chelmsford City and 1.50 for Maidenhead United.

What was the final score of Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead United?

Chelmsford City 1-1 Maidenhead United in the England - Conference on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Chelmsford City 50%, draw 26%, Maidenhead United 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chelmsford City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelmsford City) ✓ Under 2.5
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