Dover Athletic 1-3 Farnborough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
2.8
6+ Goals
10%
8.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+1.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.3pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dover Athletic EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Farnborough EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -26%
1.53/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.74
+13% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dover Athletic
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Farnborough
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
06.09.2025 Farnborough Farnborough 1-2 HT 1-1 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İCON
23.03.2024 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 1-3 HT 1-2 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
28.10.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 4-0 HT 2-0 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İCON
22.04.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 3-0 HT 2-0 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İCON
22.10.2022 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dover Athletic
1-3
AWAY Farnborough
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dover Athletic vs Farnborough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farnborough saw off Dover Athletic 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Farnborough as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dover Athletic had 43% of the ball to Farnborough's 57%, shots finished 8-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Farnborough led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Dover Athletic and 2.40 for Farnborough.

What was the final score of Dover Athletic vs Farnborough?

Dover Athletic 1-3 Farnborough in the England - Conference on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dover Athletic vs Farnborough?

Before kick-off our model rated an Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dover Athletic 35%, draw 24%, Farnborough 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farnborough), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Farnborough) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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