Farnborough 1-2 Dover Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.21
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
2.74
6+ Goals
11%
7.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farnborough EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Dover Athletic EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.45/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.39
-12% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farnborough
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Dover Athletic
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2024 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 1-3 HT 1-2 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
28.10.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 4-0 HT 2-0 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İCON
22.04.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 3-0 HT 2-0 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İCON
22.10.2022 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
POST-MATCH Farnborough vs Dover Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dover Athletic squeezed past Farnborough 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Farnborough at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Farnborough had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Farnborough and 0.50 for Dover Athletic.

What was the final score of Farnborough vs Dover Athletic?

Farnborough 1-2 Dover Athletic in the England - Conference on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farnborough vs Dover Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Farnborough 48%, draw 28%, Dover Athletic 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Farnborough) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Farnborough) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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