Ebbsfleet United 1-1 AFC Hornchurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.13
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.32
6+ Goals
14%
12.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.2pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.12/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.04
-25% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +34%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
1-1
AWAY AFC Hornchurch
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs AFC Hornchurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ebbsfleet United and AFC Hornchurch couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ebbsfleet United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ebbsfleet United had 48% of the ball to AFC Hornchurch's 52%, shots finished 8-12.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs AFC Hornchurch?

Ebbsfleet United 1-1 AFC Hornchurch in the England - Conference on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs AFC Hornchurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ebbsfleet United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 45%, draw 24%, AFC Hornchurch 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ebbsfleet United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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