Maidstone United 0-3 Horsham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
21%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.35
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
7%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 28% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+1.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-3.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Horsham EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.67/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.00
+3% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +48%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
380 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidstone United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Horsham
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2024 Horsham Horsham 2-1 HT 1-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İNFAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidstone United
0-3
AWAY Horsham
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maidstone United vs Horsham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Horsham swept aside Maidstone United 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Maidstone United at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maidstone United had 64% of the ball to Horsham's 36%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Maidstone United vs Horsham?

Maidstone United 0-3 Horsham in the England - Conference on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidstone United vs Horsham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Maidstone United 51%, draw 28%, Horsham 22%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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