Horsham 2-1 Maidstone United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Horsham EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Horsham
2-1
AWAY Maidstone United
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Horsham vs Maidstone United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Horsham edged past Maidstone United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Horsham found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Horsham had 36% of the ball to Maidstone United's 64%, shots finished 7-14.

What was the final score of Horsham vs Maidstone United?

Horsham 2-1 Maidstone United in the England - FA Cup on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Horsham vs Maidstone United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Horsham 32%, draw 27%, Maidstone United 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Maidstone United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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