Salisbury 1-3 Tonbridge Angels — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.18
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.28
6+ Goals
8%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 30% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
-0.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salisbury EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 23%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -17%
1.89/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.70
+6% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
427 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salisbury
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Tonbridge Angels
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.03.2025 Salisbury Salisbury 2-0 HT 1-0 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
31.08.2024 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 1-0 HT 1-0 Salisbury Salisbury İCON
POST-MATCH Salisbury vs Tonbridge Angels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tonbridge Angels beat Salisbury 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Salisbury carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Salisbury and 0.50 for Tonbridge Angels.

What was the final score of Salisbury vs Tonbridge Angels?

Salisbury 1-3 Tonbridge Angels in the England - Conference on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salisbury vs Tonbridge Angels?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salisbury win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Salisbury 57%, draw 22%, Tonbridge Angels 21%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Salisbury) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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