Hemel Hempstead Town 3-1 Eastbourne Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.75
No
41%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.1pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.8pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.8pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 21%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -18%
1.29/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/2.30
-33% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Eastbourne Borough
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.09.2025 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 0-0 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
22.02.2025 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 3-3 HT 2-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
02.11.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-5 HT 2-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
09.03.2024 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 1-0 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
25.11.2023 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
15.04.2023 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 3-0 HT 2-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
3-1
AWAY Eastbourne Borough
55% Ball Possession 45%
23 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs Eastbourne Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town beat Eastbourne Borough 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hemel Hempstead Town as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Hemel Hempstead Town had 55% of the ball to Eastbourne Borough's 45%, shots finished 23-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eastbourne Borough led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hemel Hempstead Town and 2.00 for Eastbourne Borough.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs Eastbourne Borough?

Hemel Hempstead Town 3-1 Eastbourne Borough in the England - Conference on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Eastbourne Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hemel Hempstead Town win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 52%, draw 23%, Eastbourne Borough 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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