Eastbourne Borough 3-3 Hemel Hempstead Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.98
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.51
6+ Goals
7%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 31% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 23%
+12% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.80/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.66
+2% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
364 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastbourne Borough
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-5 HT 2-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
09.03.2024 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 1-0 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
25.11.2023 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
15.04.2023 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 3-0 HT 2-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
22.11.2022 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
29.01.2022 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 1-0 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastbourne Borough
3-3
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eastbourne Borough vs Hemel Hempstead Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastbourne Borough and Hemel Hempstead Town couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Eastbourne Borough at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eastbourne Borough had 55% of the ball to Hemel Hempstead Town's 45%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eastbourne Borough had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Eastbourne Borough and 0.67 for Hemel Hempstead Town.

What was the final score of Eastbourne Borough vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Eastbourne Borough 3-3 Hemel Hempstead Town in the England - Conference on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastbourne Borough vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastbourne Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Eastbourne Borough 50%, draw 28%, Hemel Hempstead Town 22%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Eastbourne Borough) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
22 Feb 2025
18:00 Radcliffe Borough vs Marine Analysis →
18:00 Chelmsford City vs Torquay United Analysis →
18:00 Chippenham Town vs Welling United Analysis →
18:00 Worthing vs Salisbury Analysis →
18:00 AFC Hornchurch vs Chesham United Analysis →
18:00 St. Albans City vs Boreham Wood Analysis →