Eastbourne Borough 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
41%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 26% vs market 23.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-6.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
41%
Away Win
33%
+7.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.6pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.60/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.39
+11% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
264 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastbourne Borough
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
15.04.2023 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 3-0 HT 2-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
22.11.2022 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
29.01.2022 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 1-0 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
11.09.2021 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-2 HT 0-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
10.10.2020 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-4 HT 0-3 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastbourne Borough
1-0
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
14 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Eastbourne Borough vs Hemel Hempstead Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastbourne Borough nicked a narrow win over Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hemel Hempstead Town at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Eastbourne Borough had 60% of the ball to Hemel Hempstead Town's 40%, shots finished 14-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eastbourne Borough had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Eastbourne Borough and 0.83 for Hemel Hempstead Town.

What was the final score of Eastbourne Borough vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Eastbourne Borough 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town in the England - Conference on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastbourne Borough vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hemel Hempstead Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Eastbourne Borough 34%, draw 25%, Hemel Hempstead Town 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) ✗ BTTS Yes
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