Hemel Hempstead Town 2-5 Eastbourne Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.53
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.39
6+ Goals
11%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 27% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+6.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.4pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.43/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.49
+2% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
304 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Eastbourne Borough
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 1-0 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
25.11.2023 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
15.04.2023 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 3-0 HT 2-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
22.11.2022 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
29.01.2022 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 1-0 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
11.09.2021 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-2 HT 0-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
2-5
AWAY Eastbourne Borough
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs Eastbourne Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastbourne Borough ran out comfortable winners over Hemel Hempstead Town 5-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 39% — and on the day Eastbourne Borough made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hemel Hempstead Town had 48% of the ball to Eastbourne Borough's 52%, shots finished 8-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eastbourne Borough led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hemel Hempstead Town and 1.50 for Eastbourne Borough.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs Eastbourne Borough?

Hemel Hempstead Town 2-5 Eastbourne Borough in the England - Conference on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Eastbourne Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eastbourne Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 37%, draw 24%, Eastbourne Borough 39%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eastbourne Borough), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eastbourne Borough) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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