Grimsby Town 3-2 Crewe Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.97
Over
53%
1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.69
No
45%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.39
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
24%
3.15
6+
6%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.46
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.45
X/1
17%
4.46
X/2
10%
7.95
X/X
14%
5.09
2/1
3%
22.65
2/2
13%
5.98
2/X
5%
14.5
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Grimsby Town The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Crewe Alexandra The Market 28%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.58 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.24
1.26 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.78
Bad Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Strong
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
265 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 69%
29 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grimsby Town
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.13 xG 0.97
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
235 Passes 229
69% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2025 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 3-2 HT 2-2 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
01.04.2025 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 2-0 HT 1-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
14.12.2024 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
13.04.2024 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 0-3 HT 0-1 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
09.12.2023 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 2-1 HT 2-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
25.04.2023 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grimsby Town
3 - 2
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
2.64 xG 1.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
178 Passes 228
61% Pass Accuracy 64%
26 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Grimsby Town vs Crewe Alexandra
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Grimsby Town edged past Crewe Alexandra 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Grimsby Town as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (55%) landed.

On the day, Grimsby Town had 45% of the ball to Crewe Alexandra's 55%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.64 to 1.83.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Grimsby Town and 1.33 for Crewe Alexandra.

Grimsby Town vs Crewe Alexandra Result & Final Score

Grimsby Town 3 - 2 Crewe Alexandra in the England - 2nd Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Grimsby Town vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Grimsby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Grimsby Town 51%, draw 24%, Crewe Alexandra 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grimsby Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Grimsby Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
11 Apr 2026
14:30 Milton Keynes Dons vs Bromley Analysis →
14:30 Bristol Rovers vs Crawley Town Analysis →
17:00 Accrington Stanley vs Fleetwood Town Analysis →
17:00 Cambridge United vs Notts County Analysis →
17:00 Chesterfield vs Tranmere Rovers Analysis →
17:00 Walsall vs Cheltenham Town Analysis →