Bristol Rovers vs Crawley Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Bristol Rovers v Crawley Town — Team-Based Signals
Bristol Rovers vs Crawley Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Bristol Rovers 3-1 Crawley Town — Actual Match Statistics
Bristol Rovers put daylight between themselves and Crawley Town 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Bristol Rovers as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring.
By the numbers, Crawley Town saw more of the ball, 57% to 43%, shots finished 10-23, expected goals 2.54 to 2.13.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crawley Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Bristol Rovers against 1.50 for Crawley Town.
Bristol Rovers vs Crawley Town Result & Final Score
Bristol Rovers 3 - 1 Crawley Town in the England - 2nd Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Bristol Rovers vs Crawley Town Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Bristol Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bristol Rovers 49%, draw 27%, Crawley Town 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bristol Rovers), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.