Bristol Rovers 0-0 Crawley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 16 Nov 2024

Bristol Rovers
0-0 HT 0-0
Crawley Town
📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Bristol Rovers vs Crawley Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.56
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.44
6+ Goals
12%
12.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.01
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
17%
4.89
X/2
10%
6.76
X/X
11%
4.78
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
2/2
19%
4.74
2/X
8%
13.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS Yes — 53% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bristol Rovers v Crawley Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol Rovers EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.27/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.09
+4% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
295 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 68%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
18.9 Crosses 14.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7

Bristol Rovers vs Crawley Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol Rovers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Crawley Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.55 xG 1.56
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
282 Passes 300
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.12.2023 Crawley Town Crawley Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İNTK
09.08.2022 Crawley Town Crawley Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İNLK
08.03.2022 Crawley Town Crawley Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN2
04.09.2021 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
14.08.2018 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İNLK
15.11.2016 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 2-2 HT 1-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town FAK

Bristol Rovers 0-0 Crawley Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol Rovers
0-0
AWAY Crawley Town
1.56 xG 0.81
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
157 Passes 363
61% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bristol Rovers vs Crawley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol Rovers and Crawley Town played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Bristol Rovers had 36% of the ball to Crawley Town's 64%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.56 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol Rovers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bristol Rovers and 1.17 for Crawley Town.

What was the final score of Bristol Rovers vs Crawley Town?

Bristol Rovers 0-0 Crawley Town in the England - 1st Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol Rovers vs Crawley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bristol Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bristol Rovers 40%, draw 26%, Crawley Town 34%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bristol Rovers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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