Stockport County vs Wrexham Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stockport County v Wrexham — Team-Based Signals
Stockport County vs Wrexham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-0
HT 3-0
Wrexham
İN2
3-0
HT 2-0
Stockport County
İBSL
2-0
HT 0-0
Stockport County
FAK
2-1
HT 0-1
Wrexham
İBSL
0-3
HT 0-2
Stockport County
İBSL
2-0
HT 2-0
Wrexham
İBSL
Stockport County 1-0 Wrexham — Actual Match Statistics
Stockport County squeezed past Wrexham 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stockport County as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.
On the day, Stockport County had 54% of the ball to Wrexham's 46%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.67 to 0.87.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stockport County had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Stockport County and 1.00 for Wrexham.
What was the final score of Stockport County vs Wrexham?
Stockport County 1-0 Wrexham in the England - 1st Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stockport County vs Wrexham?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stockport County 43%, draw 27%, Wrexham 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockport County), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.