Exeter City 0-0 Lincoln City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
4.55
6+ Goals
8%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.16
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
18%
5.71
X/2
8%
5.43
X/X
12%
3.87
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.88
2/X
12%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.8pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.4pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Exeter City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lincoln City EU Bookmakers 39%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +26%
1.09/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.11
-39% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
297 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 72%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
23.9 Crosses 14.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Exeter City
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Lincoln City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.16 xG 1.08
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
286 Passes 220
71% Pass Accuracy 64%
18 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-0 HT 0-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
28.10.2023 Exeter City Exeter City 1-1 HT 0-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
11.03.2023 Exeter City Exeter City 2-1 HT 1-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
30.07.2022 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-1 HT 0-1 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
26.02.2019 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-1 HT 0-1 Exeter City Exeter City İN2
01.09.2018 Exeter City Exeter City 0-3 HT 0-2 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Exeter City
0-0
AWAY Lincoln City
0.31 xG 0.84
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
269 Passes 157
72% Pass Accuracy 58%
16 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Exeter City vs Lincoln City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Exeter City and Lincoln City played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Exeter City had 58% of the ball to Lincoln City's 42%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.31 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lincoln City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Exeter City and 1.33 for Lincoln City.

What was the final score of Exeter City vs Lincoln City?

Exeter City 0-0 Lincoln City in the England - 1st Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Exeter City vs Lincoln City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Exeter City win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Exeter City 35%, draw 32%, Lincoln City 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Exeter City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Exeter City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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