Cambridge United 1-1 Barnsley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
45%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.0
Over 2.5
41%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.76
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.31
6+ Goals
8%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 29% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.66
1/2
6%
23.85
1/X
10%
13.9
X/1
8%
7.89
X/2
20%
4.51
X/X
7%
5.05
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.59
2/X
12%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
-0.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.0pp
45%
Away Win
48%
-3.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
46%
+12.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
54%
-12.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.7pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnsley EU Bookmakers 53%
+7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +16%
0.99/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.74
-2% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +18%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
192 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 71%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
17.2 Crosses 19.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambridge United
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Barnsley
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
0.82 xG 0.90
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
271 Passes 362
66% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Barnsley Barnsley 0-2 HT 0-1 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
03.10.2023 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-4 HT 0-2 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
11.02.2023 Barnsley Barnsley 2-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
17.09.2022 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-3 HT 0-1 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambridge United
1-1
AWAY Barnsley
0.68 xG 1.20
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
174 Passes 342
64% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cambridge United vs Barnsley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambridge United and Barnsley couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Barnsley at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Cambridge United had 38% of the ball to Barnsley's 62%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.68 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Barnsley led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cambridge United and 2.25 for Barnsley.

What was the final score of Cambridge United vs Barnsley?

Cambridge United 1-1 Barnsley in the England - 1st Division on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambridge United vs Barnsley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barnsley win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cambridge United 26%, draw 29%, Barnsley 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Barnsley), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barnsley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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