Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Crawley Town v Bristol Rovers — Team-Based Signals
Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Bristol Rovers
İNTK
1-0
HT 0-0
Bristol Rovers
İNLK
1-2
HT 0-1
Bristol Rovers
İN2
1-0
HT 0-0
Crawley Town
İN2
2-1
HT 1-0
Crawley Town
İNLK
Crawley Town 1-0 Bristol Rovers — Actual Match Statistics
Crawley Town squeezed past Bristol Rovers 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Crawley Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Crawley Town had 56% of the ball to Bristol Rovers's 44%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.93 to 0.47 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Crawley Town's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Crawley Town and 1.00 for Bristol Rovers.
What was the final score of Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers?
Crawley Town 1-0 Bristol Rovers in the England - 1st Division on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Crawley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 42%, draw 25%, Bristol Rovers 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crawley Town), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.