Peterborough United 3-0 Charlton Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.3
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.24
6+ Goals
12%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 25% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.64
1/2
10%
25.0
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
8%
6.69
X/2
12%
5.16
X/X
11%
4.68
2/1
11%
31.0
2/2
19%
3.1
2/X
7%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.20/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.95
+28% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
239 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 79%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
11.4 Crosses 21.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Charlton Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.29 xG 1.45
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
262 Passes 326
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2025 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-1 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
13.01.2024 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-2 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
12.08.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 1-0 HT 1-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
28.02.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 0-0 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
26.12.2022 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
24.04.2021 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough United
3-0
AWAY Charlton Athletic
2.32 xG 1.93
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 25
7 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 10
259 Passes 297
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 50
9 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Peterborough United vs Charlton Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough United swept aside Charlton Athletic 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Charlton Athletic at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Peterborough United had 47% of the ball to Charlton Athletic's 53%, shots finished 15-25, expected goals 2.32 to 1.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Peterborough United and 0.67 for Charlton Athletic.

What was the final score of Peterborough United vs Charlton Athletic?

Peterborough United 3-0 Charlton Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough United vs Charlton Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Charlton Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Peterborough United 34%, draw 25%, Charlton Athletic 41%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Charlton Athletic) ✗ BTTS Yes
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