Charlton Athletic 2-1 Peterborough United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 11 Feb 2025

Charlton Athletic
2-1 HT 0-0
Peterborough United
📅11/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Charlton Athletic vs Peterborough United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.13
6+ Goals
11%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 25% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.43
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.6
X/1
14%
4.45
X/2
9%
8.18
X/X
8%
5.21
2/1
8%
22.55
2/2
12%
6.16
2/X
7%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Charlton Athletic v Peterborough United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.60/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.49
+21% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -30%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
317 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 67%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
21.3 Crosses 20.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6

Charlton Athletic vs Peterborough United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlton Athletic
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Peterborough United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.26 xG 1.36
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
298 Passes 280
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.01.2024 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-2 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
12.08.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 1-0 HT 1-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
28.02.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 0-0 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
26.12.2022 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
24.04.2021 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
19.01.2021 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-1 HT 0-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1

Charlton Athletic 2-1 Peterborough United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlton Athletic
2-1
AWAY Peterborough United
2.37 xG 0.95
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 0
308 Passes 150
72% Pass Accuracy 53%
33 Box Touches 12
28 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Charlton Athletic vs Peterborough United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlton Athletic nicked a narrow win over Peterborough United 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Charlton Athletic as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Charlton Athletic had 61% of the ball to Peterborough United's 39%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 2.37 to 0.95 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Charlton Athletic's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Charlton Athletic and 1.17 for Peterborough United.

What was the final score of Charlton Athletic vs Peterborough United?

Charlton Athletic 2-1 Peterborough United in the England - 1st Division on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlton Athletic vs Peterborough United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlton Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Charlton Athletic 48%, draw 24%, Peterborough United 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlton Athletic), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Charlton Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5
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