Bristol Rovers 1-1 Stockport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 11 Feb 2025

Bristol Rovers
1-1 HT 0-0
Stockport County
📅11/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Bristol Rovers vs Stockport County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
47%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.47
6+ Goals
11%
14.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.47 — our 25% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.95
1/2
9%
23.85
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
16.25
X/1
9%
9.63
X/2
13%
4.12
X/X
9%
4.95
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.18
2/X
7%
14.55
Value flag · 1/X at 16.25 — our 10% vs market 3.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+5.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
48%
Away Win
55%
-7.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.0pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bristol Rovers v Stockport County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol Rovers EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockport County EU Bookmakers 59%
+2% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.12/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/1.02
+36% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +65%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
281 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 74%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
17.3 Crosses 15.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2

Bristol Rovers vs Stockport County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol Rovers
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Stockport County
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.04 xG 2.35
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
218 Passes 407
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 34
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
24.08.2024 Stockport County Stockport County 2-0 HT 1-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
02.03.2010 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
15.08.2009 Stockport County Stockport County 0-2 HT 0-2 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
28.03.2009 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 2-0 HT 2-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
20.12.2008 Stockport County Stockport County 3-1 HT 2-1 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
20.03.2007 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2

Bristol Rovers 1-1 Stockport County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol Rovers
1-1
AWAY Stockport County
0.77 xG 1.36
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
369 Passes 330
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bristol Rovers vs Stockport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol Rovers and Stockport County couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Stockport County at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Bristol Rovers had 51% of the ball to Stockport County's 49%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.77 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol Rovers had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bristol Rovers and 1.00 for Stockport County.

What was the final score of Bristol Rovers vs Stockport County?

Bristol Rovers 1-1 Stockport County in the England - 1st Division on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol Rovers vs Stockport County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bristol Rovers 26%, draw 27%, Stockport County 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stockport County), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stockport County) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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