Stockport County 2-0 Bristol Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 26% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.28
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.7
X/1
10%
4.02
X/2 EV+ ✗
16%
8.79
X/X
12%
5.17
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
8%
6.73
2/X
6%
15.3
Value flag · X/2 at 8.79 — our 16% vs market 7.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockport County EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol Rovers EU Bookmakers 25%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.46/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.46
+12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
301 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 71%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
17.0 Crosses 14.2
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockport County
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Bristol Rovers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
02.03.2010 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
15.08.2009 Stockport County Stockport County 0-2 HT 0-2 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
28.03.2009 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 2-0 HT 2-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
20.12.2008 Stockport County Stockport County 3-1 HT 2-1 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
20.03.2007 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
03.09.2006 Stockport County Stockport County 2-1 HT 1-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockport County
2-0
AWAY Bristol Rovers
2.35 xG 1.04
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
407 Passes 218
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stockport County vs Bristol Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockport County saw off Bristol Rovers 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stockport County as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Stockport County had 61% of the ball to Bristol Rovers's 39%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 2.35 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol Rovers led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stockport County and 1.50 for Bristol Rovers.

What was the final score of Stockport County vs Bristol Rovers?

Stockport County 2-0 Bristol Rovers in the England - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockport County vs Bristol Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Stockport County 45%, draw 24%, Bristol Rovers 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockport County) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stockport County)
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