Exeter City vs Peterborough United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Exeter City v Peterborough United — Team-Based Signals
Exeter City vs Peterborough United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Exeter City
İN1
3-2
HT 1-1
Peterborough United
İN1
0-2
HT 0-0
Peterborough United
İNTK
2-0
HT 0-0
Exeter City
FAK
Exeter City 1-2 Peterborough United — Actual Match Statistics
Peterborough United edged past Exeter City 2-1 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Peterborough United made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Exeter City had 61% of the ball to Peterborough United's 39%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.05 to 2.76 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Peterborough United's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Exeter City and 2.00 for Peterborough United.
What was the final score of Exeter City vs Peterborough United?
Exeter City 1-2 Peterborough United in the England - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Exeter City vs Peterborough United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Exeter City 36%, draw 26%, Peterborough United 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peterborough United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.