Peterborough United 2-1 Exeter City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.97
6+ Goals
14%
8.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.71
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.0
X/1
17%
3.64
X/2
5%
14.4
X/X
9%
6.55
2/1
7%
21.85
2/2
8%
11.15
2/X
5%
18.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.4pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.6pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Exeter City EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -3%
1.92/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.90
+17% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
355 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
25.1 Crosses 13.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough United
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Exeter City
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.39 xG 0.78
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
356 Passes 263
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.02.2024 Exeter City Exeter City 2-1 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
10.04.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 3-1 HT 2-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
12.11.2022 Exeter City Exeter City 3-2 HT 1-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
04.12.2018 Exeter City Exeter City 0-2 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İNTK
09.11.2013 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-0 HT 0-0 Exeter City Exeter City FAK
05.03.2011 Peterborough United Peterborough United 3-0 HT 1-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough United
2-1
AWAY Exeter City
0.97 xG 0.69
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 7
570 Passes 341
89% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 22
27 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Peterborough United vs Exeter City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough United squeezed past Exeter City 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Peterborough United as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Peterborough United had 61% of the ball to Exeter City's 39%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 0.97 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Peterborough United and 1.00 for Exeter City.

What was the final score of Peterborough United vs Exeter City?

Peterborough United 2-1 Exeter City in the England - 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough United vs Exeter City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Peterborough United 60%, draw 21%, Exeter City 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peterborough United), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Peterborough United) ✓ Over 2.5
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