Wrexham 3-0 Reading — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.08
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
9.82
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.08 — our 31% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.69
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1
12%
4.74
X/2
11%
7.41
X/X
13%
5.09
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
14%
5.03
2/X
6%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.6pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wrexham EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Reading EU Bookmakers 31%
+10% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -23%
1.14/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.35
+105% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 77%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
24.0 Crosses 19.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wrexham
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Reading
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
8 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
29.12.2001 Wrexham Wrexham 0-2 HT 0-1 Reading Reading İN1
06.11.2001 Reading Reading 2-0 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN1
17.03.2001 Wrexham Wrexham 1-2 HT 0-1 Reading Reading İN1
17.10.2000 Reading Reading 4-1 HT 4-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wrexham
3-0
AWAY Reading
1.61 xG 1.01
32% Ball Possession 68%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
185 Passes 490
71% Pass Accuracy 88%
13 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wrexham vs Reading
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wrexham ran out comfortable winners over Reading 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wrexham as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Wrexham had 32% of the ball to Reading's 68%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.61 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Reading led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Wrexham and 2.50 for Reading.

What was the final score of Wrexham vs Reading?

Wrexham 3-0 Reading in the England - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wrexham vs Reading?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Wrexham 41%, draw 27%, Reading 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wrexham), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wrexham) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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