Leyton Orient 3-0 Mansfield Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.85
No
60%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.81
6+ Goals
9%
17.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 34% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.78
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.85
X/1
13%
4.51
X/2
11%
7.17
X/X
12%
4.45
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
12%
5.66
2/X
6%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
50%
-10.4pp
60%
BTTS No
50%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +41%
1.18/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.27
-32% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +84%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 70%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
19.2 Crosses 17.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leyton Orient
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mansfield Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.12 xG 1.01
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
231 Passes 230
64% Pass Accuracy 63%
16 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.04.2023 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-2 HT 1-2 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
13.08.2022 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-0 HT 0-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
29.01.2022 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
25.09.2021 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-0 HT 0-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
02.04.2021 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
19.09.2020 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-2 HT 0-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leyton Orient
3-0
AWAY Mansfield Town
0.56 xG 0.35
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
460 Passes 312
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 11
11 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Leyton Orient vs Mansfield Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leyton Orient cruised past Mansfield Town 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Leyton Orient as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Leyton Orient had 58% of the ball to Mansfield Town's 42%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.56 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leyton Orient had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Leyton Orient and 0.83 for Mansfield Town.

What was the final score of Leyton Orient vs Mansfield Town?

Leyton Orient 3-0 Mansfield Town in the England - 1st Division on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leyton Orient vs Mansfield Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leyton Orient win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Leyton Orient 47%, draw 25%, Mansfield Town 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leyton Orient), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leyton Orient) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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