Reading 1-1 Shrewsbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.87
6+ Goals
9%
18.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.04
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
20%
4.77
X/2
10%
6.7
X/X
14%
4.29
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
12%
5.13
2/X
7%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.9pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reading EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.50/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.16
+11% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 70%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
20.1 Crosses 16.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reading
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Shrewsbury
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.25 xG 1.12
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
338 Passes 223
74% Pass Accuracy 66%
24 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
24.02.2024 Reading Reading 2-3 HT 2-3 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
11.11.2023 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 3-2 HT 1-2 Reading Reading İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reading
1-1
AWAY Shrewsbury
0.82 xG 1.58
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
272 Passes 151
73% Pass Accuracy 59%
15 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Reading vs Shrewsbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reading and Shrewsbury shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Reading at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Reading had 58% of the ball to Shrewsbury's 42%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.82 to 1.58.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Shrewsbury led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Reading and 3.00 for Shrewsbury.

What was the final score of Reading vs Shrewsbury?

Reading 1-1 Shrewsbury in the England - 1st Division on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reading vs Shrewsbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reading win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Reading 42%, draw 29%, Shrewsbury 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Reading), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Reading) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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