Crawley Town vs Stevenage Prediction — Model Probabilities
Crawley Town v Stevenage — Team-Based Signals
Crawley Town vs Stevenage Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Crawley Town 3-1 Stevenage — Actual Match Statistics
Crawley Town beat Stevenage 3-1. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
Our pre-match lean was Stevenage at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 51%.
Under the surface, Stevenage saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 2.56 to 1.15.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stevenage led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Crawley Town against 2.17 for Stevenage.
Crawley Town vs Stevenage Result & Final Score
Crawley Town 3 - 1 Stevenage in the England - League One on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Crawley Town vs Stevenage Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 29%, draw 28%, Stevenage 43%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stevenage), Under 2.5 went the other way.