Crawley Town vs Stevenage Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Crawley Town v Stevenage — Team-Based Signals
Crawley Town vs Stevenage Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Crawley Town
İN2
1-2
HT 0-1
Stevenage
İN2
2-2
HT 1-0
Stevenage
İN2
2-1
HT 1-1
Crawley Town
İN2
3-3
HT 1-1
Crawley Town
İN2
0-1
HT 0-0
Stevenage
İN2
Crawley Town 3-1 Stevenage — Actual Match Statistics
Crawley Town beat Stevenage 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Crawley Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Crawley Town had 45% of the ball to Stevenage's 55%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 2.56 to 1.15.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stevenage led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Crawley Town and 2.17 for Stevenage.
What was the final score of Crawley Town vs Stevenage?
Crawley Town 3-1 Stevenage in the England - 1st Division on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Crawley Town vs Stevenage?
Before kick-off our model rated an Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 33%, draw 28%, Stevenage 39%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.