Lincoln City 0-0 Exeter City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
24%
4.02
6+ Goals
9%
19.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.19
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.5
X/1
17%
3.96
X/2
7%
9.67
X/X
12%
4.57
2/1
12%
26.0
2/2
9%
8.49
2/X
6%
17.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-1.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.7pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lincoln City EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Exeter City EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
1.59/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.52
+35% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
269 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 65%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
20.4 Crosses 16.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lincoln City
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Exeter City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.03 xG 0.99
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
207 Passes 282
63% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.11.2024 Exeter City Exeter City 0-0 HT 0-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
17.02.2024 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-0 HT 0-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
28.10.2023 Exeter City Exeter City 1-1 HT 0-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
11.03.2023 Exeter City Exeter City 2-1 HT 1-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
30.07.2022 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-1 HT 0-1 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
26.02.2019 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-1 HT 0-1 Exeter City Exeter City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lincoln City
0-0
AWAY Exeter City
1.38 xG 0.10
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 1
306 Passes 198
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
27 Box Touches 10
37 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lincoln City vs Exeter City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lincoln City and Exeter City played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Lincoln City at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Lincoln City had 59% of the ball to Exeter City's 41%, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 1.38 to 0.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lincoln City and 0.83 for Exeter City.

What was the final score of Lincoln City vs Exeter City?

Lincoln City 0-0 Exeter City in the England - 1st Division on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lincoln City vs Exeter City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lincoln City win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Lincoln City 54%, draw 24%, Exeter City 22%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lincoln City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lincoln City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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