Wrexham 1-0 Stockport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.13
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
5.15
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.32
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.45
X/1
11%
4.66
X/2
8%
6.31
X/X
15%
3.67
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2 EV+ ✗
21%
5.26
2/X
8%
15.05
Value flag · 2/2 at 5.26 — our 21% vs market 14.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.4pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.0pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+7.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.5pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wrexham EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockport County EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.25/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.16
+1% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +33%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
352 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 68%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
25.9 Crosses 16.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wrexham
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Stockport County
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.08 xG 1.75
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
312 Passes 394
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2024 Stockport County Stockport County 1-0 HT 1-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN1
23.09.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 5-0 HT 3-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN2
08.05.2022 Wrexham Wrexham 3-0 HT 2-0 Stockport County Stockport County İBSL
02.04.2022 Wrexham Wrexham 2-0 HT 0-0 Stockport County Stockport County FAK
25.09.2021 Stockport County Stockport County 2-1 HT 0-1 Wrexham Wrexham İBSL
10.04.2021 Wrexham Wrexham 0-3 HT 0-2 Stockport County Stockport County İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wrexham
1-0
AWAY Stockport County
1.27 xG 0.86
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
204 Passes 363
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 27
7 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wrexham vs Stockport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wrexham edged past Stockport County 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Wrexham made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Wrexham had 39% of the ball to Stockport County's 61%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 1.27 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stockport County led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wrexham and 1.83 for Stockport County.

What was the final score of Wrexham vs Stockport County?

Wrexham 1-0 Stockport County in the England - 1st Division on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wrexham vs Stockport County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Wrexham 36%, draw 29%, Stockport County 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/29/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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