Northampton Town 0-2 Blackpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
46%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.0
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.5
6+ Goals
11%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 28% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.57
1/2
10%
26.5
1/X
5%
13.45
X/1
12%
6.38
X/2
13%
5.06
X/X
11%
4.55
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
23%
3.2
2/X
9%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+5.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northampton Town EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackpool EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.13/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.29
+7% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
277 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 76%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
18.2 Crosses 19.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northampton Town
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Blackpool
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.49 xG 2.05
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
243 Passes 310
64% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
16.11.2024 Blackpool Blackpool 0-0 HT 0-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
12.03.2024 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
28.11.2023 Blackpool Blackpool 1-2 HT 0-1 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
01.05.2021 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
02.02.2021 Blackpool Blackpool 2-0 HT 1-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
10.04.2018 Blackpool Blackpool 3-0 HT 1-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Northampton Town
0-2
AWAY Blackpool
0.53 xG 1.42
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
219 Passes 207
66% Pass Accuracy 66%
12 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Northampton Town vs Blackpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackpool beat Northampton Town 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Blackpool as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Northampton Town had 51% of the ball to Blackpool's 49%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.53 to 1.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackpool led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Northampton Town and 1.67 for Blackpool.

What was the final score of Northampton Town vs Blackpool?

Northampton Town 0-2 Blackpool in the England - 1st Division on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northampton Town vs Blackpool?

Before kick-off our model rated an Blackpool win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Northampton Town 29%, draw 25%, Blackpool 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blackpool), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Blackpool) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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