Crewe Alexandra 2-0 Grimsby Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 1 Apr 2025

Crewe Alexandra
2-0 HT 1-0
Grimsby Town
📅01/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Crewe Alexandra vs Grimsby Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.55
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
4.22
6+ Goals
10%
21.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.02
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
10%
13.85
X/1
14%
5.58
X/2
16%
5.54
X/X
10%
4.13
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
14%
3.99
2/X
7%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Crewe Alexandra v Grimsby Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 39%
+10% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.29/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.49
+21% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
274 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 67%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
18.5 Crosses 19.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Crewe Alexandra vs Grimsby Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crewe Alexandra
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Grimsby Town
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.76 xG 1.29
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
264 Passes 260
70% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.12.2024 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
13.04.2024 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 0-3 HT 0-1 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
09.12.2023 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 2-1 HT 2-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
25.04.2023 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
04.02.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 0-3 HT 0-2 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
09.08.2022 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 4-0 HT 2-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İNLK

Crewe Alexandra 2-0 Grimsby Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crewe Alexandra
2-0
AWAY Grimsby Town
0.94 xG 0.61
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
172 Passes 141
65% Pass Accuracy 62%
26 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Crewe Alexandra vs Grimsby Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crewe Alexandra got the better of Grimsby Town 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Crewe Alexandra found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Crewe Alexandra had 53% of the ball to Grimsby Town's 47%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.94 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grimsby Town led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Crewe Alexandra and 2.33 for Grimsby Town.

What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra vs Grimsby Town?

Crewe Alexandra 2-0 Grimsby Town in the England - 2nd Division on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra vs Grimsby Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crewe Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 37%, draw 26%, Grimsby Town 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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